EMSE Engineering Management and Systems Engineering

Dr. Johan René van Dorp
Professor

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EMSE 234:

Syllabus

Introduction

Course Files

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Management of Risk for Natural and Technological Hazards :

Session 1:
Lecture Notes EMSE 234 Session 1 - Covello and Mumpower for:

V.T. Covello and J. Mumpower (1985). Risk Analysis and Risk Management: A Historical Perspective - Pre 20-th Century, Risk Analysis, 5 (2) 103-120.

Session 2:
Lecture Notes EMSE 234 Session 2 - Wilson for:

R. Wilson (1979) Analyzing the daily risk of life, Technology Review, Vol. 81, No. 4, 1979, 41-46.

Lecture Notes EMSE 234 Session 2 - Kaplan for:

S. Kaplan (1997), The words of risk analysis, Risk Analysis, 17 (4) 407–417.

Session 3:
Lecture Notes EMSE 234 Session 3 - Jardine and Hrudey for:

C. G. Jardine and S.E. Hrudey (1997). Mixed message in risk communication, Risk Analysis, 17 (4), 1997, 489-498.

Lecture Notes EMSE 234 Session 3 - Brent Spar for:

R.E. Lofsted and O. Renn (1997). The Brent Spar controversy: An example of risk communication gone wrong. Risk Analysis, 17 (2), 131-135.

Session 4:
Lecture Notes EMSE 234 Session 4 - Slovic 1 for:

P. Slovic (1993). Perceived risk, trust, and democracy, Risk Analysis, 13 (6), 675-682.

Lecture Notes EMSE 234 Session 4 - Slovic 2 for:

P. Slovic, B. Fischhoff and S. Lichtenstein (1979). Rating the risks, Environment, 21 (3), 14-20.

Session 5:
Lecture Notes EMSE 234 Session 5 - Mumpower for:

J. Mumpower (1986). An analysis of the de minimis strategy for risk management, Risk Analysis, Vol. 6, No. 4, 437-446.

Lecture Notes EMSE 234 Session 5 - Derby and Keeney for:

S.L. Derby and R.L. Keeney, How safe is safe enough? Risk Analysis, 1 (3) 217-224.

Session 6: QUIZ 1: Session 1 - Session 5

Session 7: EMSE 234 SESSION 7 - Uncertainty Modeling.PDF

Session 8: EMSE 234 SESSION 8 - Causal Chain.PDF

Session 9: EMSE 234 SESSION 9 - Consequences with AHP.pdf

Session 10: QUIZ 2 : Session 7- Session 9

Session 11: Case Study: The Schiphol Airport Risk Assessment
EMSE 234 SESSION 11 - SCHIPHOL CASE STUDY.pdf

Session 12: Case Study: The Washington State Ferry Risk Assessment
EMSE 234 Session 12 - WSF Case Study Part 1.pdf

EMSE 234 Session 12 - WSF Case Study Part 2.pdf
EMSE 234 Session 12 - WSF Case Study Part 3.pdf

Session 13: EMSE 234 Session 13 - INTRO NATURAL HAZARDS.pdf

Session 14: EMSE 234 Session 14 - An Earthquake Risk Assessment Approach.pdf

Source: Polat Gulkan, Mustafa Erdik, 1988. "Probabilistic Tools in Earthquake Hazard Forecast: A Case Study for Turkey", Seismic Hazard in Mediterranean Regions, 229-253

Session 15: Class Presentations


School of Engineering and Applied Science
The George Washington University
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Washington, DC 20052
Email:  dorpjr@gwu.edu
Phone: (202) 994-6638