Papers

Presentations

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Progress:

This website was developed as part of the dissemination plan of our NSF Project. Presentations to conferences and journal submissions detailing the work conducted under this NSF project will be made available at this location as we progress.

Journal Papers/Technical Reports:

1. Jason R. W. Merrick, J. Rene van Dorp, Joseph P. Blackford, Gregory L. Shaw, Thomas A. Mazzuchi and Jack Harrald (2003). “A Traffic Density Analysis of Proposed Ferry Service Expansion in San Francisco Bay Utilizing Maritime Simulation (2.5mb)”, Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Vol. 81 (2): pp. 119-132.

2. J.R.W.Merrick, J. Rene van Dorp, V. Dinesh (2003). “Assessing Uncertainty in Simulation Based Maritime Risk Assessment", submitted to Journal of Risk Analysis, June, 2003. Part of Completion of Task 1.

3. J.R.W.Merrick, V. Dinesh, Amita Singh, J. Rene van Dorp and T.A. Mazzuchi (2003), "Propagation of Uncertainty in a Simulation-Based Maritime Risk Assessment Model Utilizing Bayesian Simulation Techniques", 2003 Winter Simulation Conference Proceedings, December 2003. Part of Completion of Task 1.

4. P. Szwed, J. Rene van Dorp, J.R.W.Merrick, T.A. Mazzuchi and A. Singh (2004). “A Bayesian Paired Comparison Approach for Relative Accident Probability Assessment with Covariate Information”, to appear in European Journal of Operations Research. Part of Completion of Task 2.

5. Merrick, J. R. W., J. R. van Dorp and A. Singh (2003). “Analysis of Correlated Expert Judgments from Pairwise Comparisons”. Re-submitted to Decision Analysis, September 2004, First Revision. Part of Completion of Task 2.

6. Merrick, J. R. W. and J. R. van Dorp (2004). “Speaking the Truth in Maritime Risk Assessment”. Submitted to Management Science, August 2004. Part of Completion of Task 3 and 4.