GWU - EMSE Engineering Management and Systems Engineering

Collaborative NSF Project:
Speaking the Truth in Maritime Risk Assessment
VCU - SSOR
Statistical Sciences and Operations Research

Project DescriptionTasks to be CompletedProgress Report on ProjectMaritime Risk Papers, Proceedings, Reports and Movies

Contents:

Page 1

Page 2

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

<< Home Page

Description (Page 1):

Principle Investigator: J. Rene van Dorp (GWU)
Principle Investigator: Jason Merrick (VCU)
Timeline: Start Date: 8-15-2002, End Date: 8-15-2004.
Sponsor: National Science Foundation
Funding: GWU Award SES-0213700 - $139,305

              VCU Award SES-0213627 - $136,479

Over the past 6 years the principal investigators at GWU and VCU have co-developed with Thomas A. Mazzuchi, Jack Harrald and Martha Grabowski a methodology for assessing the risk associated with maritime transportation. The methodology utilizes dynamic simulation of the maritime transportation system, expert judgment elicitation models and probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) techniques. The approach has proven useful in three major maritime ports in the United States i.e. Port of New Orleans (Mississippi River in Louisiana), Port Valdez (Prince William Sound in Alaska) and Port Seattle (Puget Sound in Washington State). Two of these studies focused on passenger safety, while the other focused on oil transportation risk. The National Research Council in 1998 assessed the methodology and concluded that representation of uncertainty in the maritime risk assessment method is lacking. "The Prince William Sound Risk Assessment is an important step forward in using probabilistic risk assessment methods to assess the safety of transporting oil in large tankers in PWS. Because the data were very limited, the analysis results and the resulting conclusions are not robust and are necessarily uncertain [National Research Council, 1998]."


SEAS Image
Home Page: J.R. van Dorp
Engineering Management and 
Systems Engineering School of Engineering and
Applied Science The George Washington University 1776 G Street NW, Suite 110 Washington, DC 20052 Email: dorpjr@gwu.edu Phone: (202) 994-6638
Home Page: J.R.W. Merrick
Statistical Sciences and
Operations Research

College of Humanities and Sciences
Virginia Commonwealth University P.O. Box 843083,
Richmond, VA 23284-2014 Email: jrmerric@vcu.edu
Phone: (804) 828-1301 ext 136
GWU